
*By Bedran Ahmed Habeeb
Syrian regime will not leave so easily. Still there are many cards for it to use before leaving. It looks like the leaders of the regime are quite certain that they should leave anyway, therefore, they want the maximum blood stream from the risen Syrian nation, before they leave. These leaders look at the majority of the Syrian nation with the sectarian eye and enjoy the blood which daily flows. Therefore, the endurance of war time, even if the war ends in their failure, is considered a victory for them, regarding the continuation of bloodshed of the ungodly Sunnis.
Few weeks ago, shooting down a Turkish plane was a way to attract the Turkey for creating a war front against Syria or at least a retaliation which certainly, "even if small", would lead to many possibilities, the lightest of which would end at this regime's interest.
By launching a terrorist attack in Bulgaria a few days ago, (many believed was done by Hezbollah) which claimed the lives of some Israeli tourists, as Israel president said, was another attempt to indulge a foreign party, i.e. Israel, in this war which has been roving in Syria for almost 17 months and so far has monthly sacrificed the lives of thousands of innocent humans.
The foreign parties, both Turkey and Israel, have acted more wisely than fulfilling the hope of the Syrian regime or beyond that the hope of Iran and also Russia. The international community, too, has acted wisely since the beginning and has rejected the prospect of foreign intervention in Syrian crisis. The Arab League has also acted similarly. Everyone is against foreign intervention; they know that the Syrian regime is craving for it.
This has many perspectives. Russia is scared that the role of Turkey may increase in this new conflict which has overwhelmed Middle East. The conflict this time in the Middle East is different from the previous conflicts which most of them were in the frame of nationality or sectarianism (Arab-Israel conflict, Iraq-Iran war, conflict of Kurds and the oppressive regimes): all were either ethnic or ethnic religious.
The conflict this time more and more is dressing itself in an extensive Shiite-Sunni sectarian outfit. The entire nations in the region, small or big, this time for participating in this conflict, have stood up. First of all are Turks who want to harvest "the most" advantage from it and finally pose themselves as the superpower of the region or the big brother of the Sunni nations (and above all Arab).
The Russians are spooked by this; the amplifying role of Turks in this area has completely diminished the role of Russians because (as they can see) Sunni Arabs have gladly stood up to welcome the role of Turks.
In addition to this, for Russians the long war between the Ottoman Empire and the dear Tsar Russia is not forgettable. Certainly, Iran's memory of the Ottomans is not more pleasant than that of Russia. Therefore, Russians and Iranians are yearning for a foreigner to involve in the Syrian crisis and become a pretext for them to stage a chaos, the end of which cannot be seen.
We should also know that this is the last war of Russians and Iranians with the west, which end by determining their "being good or bad". Therefore, they are not terrified of any consequences.
After the end of cold war when the Soviet system terminated and Russia replaced it,
Arab Spring since last year became another determiner (maybe the last episode) in the conflict between west and Russia which Russians seem to lose.
As for Iran, it’s clear for all the US is preparing itself for striking a strong blow at Iran. It is several years Iran is trying to become the superpower in the Middle East by producing nuke and this is for the US an act redder than crossing the red line.
As media news have reported Syria is not reluctant in exploiting chemical weapons, of which it possesses plenty, against any foreigner who dares to move against it. In this the referent is more Turkey. This chemical weapon, which (hopefully) will not be used against poor Kurds again, will be the last weapon the Syrian regime resorts to.
For me the striking point in the Syrian crisis since the beginning was that the Syrian regime, a regime which till yesterday denied Kurds citizenship, this time has prevented itself from confronting or killing Kurds. Apart from murder of Mashaal Tamo, we see that in this war Kurd has not sustained too much damage.
The leaders of this regime are aware that killing Kurds has become "a dough which take too much water" and will pave the way for the widest foreign intervention.
Kurds have legitimate causes and demands, this regime cannot attach any defamatory name as "terrorist groups" or "foreign servants" to them as it has named the others in Syria. In the eye of the world, the Kurdish issue has passed the stage of being associated with misfit names. Now as we see, it is lucky for us that for the first time in the history "Kurdish blood is not cheap."
Let's come back to the subject. Syria wants to use the Kurdish card which is one of the most dangerous cards. The continuous nightmare of Kurdistan occupiers is that "behind each part of Kurdistan lies another part and may awaken each other." This is the nightmare that Syria wants to frighten Turkey with. That's why, as these days, some sporadic news penetrates which alleges Syrian regime has entrusted the protection of the Kurdish region to the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK).
Perhaps one is stuck at calling this mission "protection or repression", regarding the clear behavior of the PKK since the advent of the crisis. Therefore, we have no choice but to believe that this attempt is Syrian regime's attempt for attracting Turkey, for the engagement of the latter in an internal affair of the former. No one should forget that when it comes to the PKK, Turks have no sense and strike like crazy people. Saddam Hussein also in his time was acting and hitting crazily in the face of Kurdish issue.
In the final year of Iraq-Iran war, if it was not for Kurdish indiscretion, Halabja's bombardment with chemical weapon would not have happened and we would not have become a lesson for the world.
In the previous conference of the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK), Jalal Talabani clarified what went on behind the curtains with regard to striking Halabja. Regretting and mourning after the occurrence of the catastrophe are pointless. One should take lesson from mishap and prevent its recurrence.
Jihad Maqdes, the official spokesperson of Syrian Foreign Ministry, said they will use chemical weapon against the foreign forces if they intend to interfere with internal affairs of Syria. This is the threat "between two hot pieces of bread", as a Kurdish expression puts it. Turks have been interfering in Syrian crisis since the beginning and Syria has taken the retaliation for its appropriate time which has now arrived and has slipped PKK into the game.
What is the guarantee that due to this unwise position of Kurds themselves, due to the involvement of the Kurdish district or attracting it in the dispute between these two countries, a catastrophe (exactly Halabaj) may not be repeated?
Since the beginning of this Syrian crisis, PKK has been labeled Shabiha (the sentinel of the Syrian security organizations for quenching the Kurdish rebels) and now that the mission of "protecting the Kurdish districts" is entrusted to it, this is only to make it the "red cape" to stimulate the rabid Turkish bull to attract it for involvement in a horn fight. Certainly the end of this abhorrent horn fight, if God forbidden happened, will be a catastrophe for Kurds.
Kurds still have time, in this conflict of the Middle East, to play creepily which is better than standing in the front line of war. If the PKK truly fights for Kurds, what is better than it if in front of its eyes, without pouring its sweet or blood, the bloodthirsty Syrian regime collapses and is mocked by the world?
I believe obtaining Kurdish rights in Syria in the phase and so horridly is "something in the throat of whale". In the same way that Kurds have not shed blood or have shed a little, they should not rush to impose big and many conditions and demands. Let them act a little drunkenly till it becomes clear in the multiply-owned Syria who can climb up the ladder of authority.
It is not clear if Ekhwan (if they seize power) will establish a democrat or dictatorial system. Ekhwan is a comprehensive name for a group of political separate controversial Islamic tendencies, who are only united over God. One should not evaluate every Ekhwan group by the norms of Justice and Development Party of Erdogan which is more open than the rest. In the end, (as I said before), as Kurds, we have reached an era where no longer the Kurds' blood is cheap and their possessions at waste.
In general and apart from Syrian crisis, I'm not very certain that the Kurds will get something worthy from the Shiite-Sunni conflict. The adventures of the Kurdish princes in the Ottoman and Safawi eras are not very far from us, when the princes were not more than triggers till the day Ottomans and Safawis did not need them anymore.
It should not be forgotten that wherever Turkish state is, there is no Kurdish right, in the same way that where an Iranian state is there is no Kurdish right or name of Kurds. Please Kurds, in this labyrinthine way, try to prevent taking big blows and if you have some achievement and historic treasure, protect it well and do not gamble over it in this extremely risky stage, as Haji has described it "between the millstones of Rome and Ajam."
The writer is AKnews general director.
LL/AKnews